Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 1387.902141 1523.657228 1662.044333 1813.390331 1973.971952 2138.999854 2321.140273
2025-05-11 1151.502689 1349.502767 1560.083782 1799.579712 2063.268565 2343.642660 2663.186728
2025-05-18 1016.931285 1251.950023 1509.872582 1811.565929 2152.407126 2523.276517 2955.029963
2025-05-25 902.138075 1160.472122 1451.911709 1801.116764 2204.249120 2651.291647 3180.714995
2025-06-01 827.210183 1105.960813 1428.053799 1821.962826 2284.964516 2806.437788 3432.613235
2025-06-08 744.837537 1034.873353 1378.000442 1806.002382 2317.748661 2902.560553 3613.824167
2025-06-15 703.424069 1009.658143 1379.166524 1847.619531 2415.537953 3072.127386 3878.800255
2025-06-22 650.690068 965.960924 1354.140216 1854.384927 2469.251129 3188.286921 4080.417699
2025-06-29 598.755792 919.410253 1322.219280 1849.682970 2506.663264 3283.360253 4256.031810
2025-07-06 529.714929 845.622497 1251.625426 1792.857740 2476.918981 3295.287151 4330.480783
2025-07-13 517.988289 847.948512 1278.252582 1858.385524 2598.330370 3490.066458 4625.023926
2025-07-20 494.404246 832.207710 1279.873005 1890.851093 2677.822414 3633.683641 4858.220276
2025-07-27 458.196849 797.169988 1254.941142 1888.644068 2714.120752 3725.711325 5031.224421
2025-08-03 420.506939 757.663161 1222.076152 1874.468995 2734.108678 3797.089829 5179.113371
2025-08-10 395.117117 734.451945 1210.082259 1886.795756 2787.324199 3909.436604 5377.500709
2025-08-17 364.286341 700.994154 1182.070925 1876.049278 2809.381076 3981.896259 5526.090546
2025-08-24 345.887696 685.379673 1178.283828 1897.487966 2873.165406 4107.030398 5740.732767
2025-08-31 317.664406 652.431921 1148.019580 1881.073980 2885.793718 4166.319258 5872.422373
2025-09-07 308.340423 649.176022 1160.510385 1923.871147 2977.349047 4326.998931 6132.654161
2025-09-14 289.846774 629.662791 1148.043961 1930.827580 3020.281022 4424.892915 6313.558959
2025-09-21 269.577538 605.803665 1127.945418 1925.992876 3046.562569 4500.842264 6466.496489
2025-09-28 237.672295 559.613997 1071.858929 1867.554868 2997.999675 4477.855639 6491.726929
2025-10-05 237.588111 569.426182 1102.263058 1934.941039 3123.050336 4683.336664 6811.933209